Inflation UK: shop price inflation spikes as food costs rise sharply - what it means for the price of goods
Household bills are creeping up as food, furniture, and everyday items get pricier 🍎
- Shop prices jumped in January to 1.5% higher than a year ago, up from 0.7% in December
- Food costs rose sharply, with fresh meat, fish, and fruit up 4.4% year-on-year
- Non-food items are no longer falling, with furniture, flooring, and health products slightly more expensive
- Rising business costs and government policy are pushing prices up across shops
- Shoppers may still find deals, but overall grocery and household bills are increasing
Shoppers are feeling the pinch as shop price inflation jumped sharply in January, defying expectations that the cost of everyday goods might be slowing.
According to the British Retail Consortium (BRC) and data firm NIQ, shop prices were 1.5% higher than a year ago, up from December’s 0.7% and a three-month average of 0.9%.
The rise is being driven by a combination of high business energy costs, government policy changes, and ongoing pressures on household budgets.
What is shop price inflation?
“Shop price inflation” measures how the prices of goods sold in retail outlets change over time.
A positive inflation rate means prices are generally higher than they were a year ago, while a negative rate indicates falling prices.
Unlike broader official inflation measures like CPI, shop price inflation focuses specifically on the goods you buy in stores, giving a clear snapshot of the cost pressures felt by everyday shoppers.


What this means for everyday shoppers
The latest figures show that both food and non-food items are contributing to rising prices.
Food inflation climbed to 3.9%, compared with December’s 3.3%, with fresh meat, fish, and fruit particularly affected, rising 4.4% year-on-year.
Weak supply and strong demand are key drivers of these increases, meaning that your weekly grocery shop may now cost noticeably more than it did a year ago.
Non-food items, which had been showing signs of falling prices, are also seeing a turnaround. After a 0.6% decline in December, non-food inflation rose to 0.3% in January, affecting categories like furniture, flooring, and health and beauty products.
While retailers’ discounts and promotional offers still exist, the general trend is upward, meaning that household goods, toiletries, and home furnishings are slowly becoming more expensive.
BRC chief executive Helen Dickinson said, “Any suggestion that inflation has peaked is simply not borne out by these figures. It is a challenging time for households.
“Retailers do what they can to keep prices down in a competitive market, but thin margins and rising costs of Government policy make it harder.”
Mike Watkins, head of retailer and business insight at NIQ, added that cautious spending in January may continue as shoppers adjust to rising costs, though savings can still be found in some promotions.
