Leeds United are more than on course for a point per game in their bid for Premier League survival - but would 38 points from 38 games actually be enough to stay up?
Daniel Farke’s fifth-bottom Whites fell to just a second league defeat from their last 11 games in last weekend’s visit of title favourites Arsenal who recorded a comfortable 4-0 success at Elland Road.
Leeds, though, who had lost just one of their last ten league games, remain two points better off than the point per game ratio in sitting on 26 points after 24 games played.
Boss Daniel Farke regularly points out the need to stay on course for a point per game haul across the season as a whole in the belief that such a return would more or less see Leeds safe.
But would his side get away with less than 38 points or will they actually need more in order to survive their first season back in the country’s top flight?
Here, excluding goal difference, we run through how many points would have been needed to stay up over the last 25 seasons based on adding one point to the tally of each season’s third-bottom team.

1. Third-bottom Leicester City relegated on 25 points.
2024-25: Points needed: 26. | Getty Images

2. Third-bottom Luton Town relegated on 26 points.
2023-24: Points needed: 27. | Getty Images

3. Third-bottom Leicester City relegated on 34 points.
2022-23: Points needed: 35. | AFP via Getty Images

4. Third-bottom Burnley relegated on 35 points (fourth-bottom Leeds stayed up on 38 points).
2021-22: Points needed: 36. | AFP via Getty Images


6. Third-bottom Bournemouth relegated on 34 points.
2019-20: Points needed: 35. | Getty Images