Despite dropping two points in heart-breaking fashion at Sunderland last week, Leeds United can enjoy the October international break knowing they are well-placed for another promotion push. Daniel Farke’s side sit fifth in the Championship after nine games and are within touching distance of the top-two - a significant improvement on this time last season.
Things could have been even better, however, with Leeds not getting what they deserve on multiple occasions. The Whites have arguably been the better side in every league game so far and could so easily have taken three points from the likes of Sunderland, Burnley and Portsmouth. And the underlying data would suggest they should have.
Statistical gurus Opta have recently published their expected points table, which calculates how many points each team should have earned, based on the expected goals total from each individual match. And not only do they have Leeds right up there, but promotion rivals Sunderland, Burnley and Sheffield United are all further down. Take a look below...
13. 12. Hull City
Expected points: 12.2 | Actual points: 12 | Actual position: 13th | Getty Images
14. 11. Burnley
Expected points: 12.9 | Actual points: 18 | Actual position: 3rd | Getty Images
15. 10. Luton Town
Expected points: 13.3 | Actual points: 8 | Actual position: 21st | Getty Images
16. 9. Bristol City
Expected points: 13.4 | Actual points: 11 | Actual position: 16th | Getty Images
17. 8. Coventry City
Expected points: 14.0 | Actual points: 8 | Actual position: 20th | AFP via Getty Images
18. 7. Sunderland
Expected points: 15.1 | Actual points: 19 | Actual position: 1st | Getty Images